Too big to last ?

Is the myth of the “critical size” close to its end ? The concept of enterprise always comes with the concept of “growth”. Growth of the turnover, but also growth of its size. Today’s big companies count tens or hundreds thousand employees. But, at a time when performance is not only about the net force obtained by adding up hands but about the ability to make brains interact together, does critical size become a weakness ?

Today, some voices are rising to say :

- current efficiency issues are caused by inappropriate size. That’s because enterprises are not as good as making people interact as they were at adding up hands 30 years ago, that they were forced to find on financial markets the growth they could not get at the operational level.

- once companies have reached a certain size, their impact on economy can be dramatic and their failure could cause a systemic threat to the whole system.

In short, we’re shiftting from a context where size was reassuring to a context when it may mean incontrolability and risk.

Can we think that a constellation of partners would be more efficient that the current mastodonts ? That businesses should lose weight and organize a their value chain with external partners ? An extreme application of value chain 2.0 ? Anyway, we still don’t know how Coase’s theorem will apply to our new born knowledge economy. No one knows what future will look like but it’s not irrelevant to think that value chain socialization will bring a new form of enterprise, more designed to hunt in packs than for solitary tracking because of their lack of agility. Or, maybe, some cleaver CEOs will manage to make  make elephants dance..

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Bill Gates about the Second Digital Decade

Yesterday I was invited by MEDEF (the French Entrepreneurs Association) to attend Bill Gate’s keynote. He shared with us his vision of the future, how people and information will be more and more connected, and how it will affect both our private and professional lives.

I’m sure this was nothing really new for a few people, especially the very few bloggers and web 2.0 savvy people in the audience, but what is common for some of us, like sharing docs, sharing ideas, working together on Google Docs, doing video conferences every time it’s possible, using IM… is often the picture of a far future for a lot of executives. Such keynotes by such people helps them understand what things are going to be and that it’s not future but present for lots of people, and especially those they’ll hire in the next months.

For people like us it’s also a good way to measure the gap between early adopters and “real companies” and understand they’ll need help on their road to emerging practices, especially because it’s not a matter of technology (which is already available) but rather a matter of philosphy, of states of minds that have to change.

I won’t write as much about this keynote as I did on my french blog because you can watch the video here. For once I have an english spoken video to post here…

My only conclusion is that in such a changing world, with new technologies making new behaviors possible in our every day life, companies can’t stay on the side on the road : they’ll have to adopt both technologies and behaviors if they want to stay in the game.